CGRG Bibliography of Canadian Geomorphology
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Author : Bernier, N.B.; Thompson, K.R.; Bobanovic, J.; and Ritchie, H.C.
Date : 2000.
Title : Storm surges and flooding risk: sensitivity to changes in storminess.
Publication : American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, December 15-19, 2000. San Francisco, California.
Issue :
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Abstract

Changes in flooding risk along the coast of Atlantic Canada are predicted under plausible climate changes. First, it is shown that a storm surge model, driven by realistic air pressure and wind fields, can provide accurate predictions of both positive and negative storm surges in the region. The storm surge model is then used to calculate the site specific relationship between surge variance and storminess. This relationship is then used, in conjunction with the statistical theory of extremes, to quantify changes in the return period of flooding under different wind regimes. For example, an increase of 10\% in wind strength reduces the return period of extreme sea-level at Charlottetown, Prince Edward Island from 50 to 15 years.

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Bibliography of Canadian Geomorphology