ABSTRACT: Great Lakes flood thresholds and impacts.

CGRG Bibliography of Canadian Geomorphology
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Abstract

Using the location, data, and water levels from flood events along the Canadian shore of the Great Lakes, flood damage thresholds were determined to identify and compare water levels at which static and storm-induced high water impact shoreline interests on several shore reaches of Lakes Erie, Huron, Ontario, and St. Clair. Spatial differences identified may be related to several factors, including: 1) nearshore bathymetries; 2) extent of residential development along low-lying shorelines; 3) degree of riparian adjustment to flooding; and 4) location relative to dominant wind or storm directions. Correlation analyses found that flood damage levels are more closely correlated to fluctuations in static levels on Lakes Ontario, Huron, and St. Clair, while flood damage levels are more closely correlated to maximum instantaneous water levels on Lake Erie. Correlation analyses of individual gauge data identified locations possibly more susceptible to storm surges. A conservative approach to determining flood damage thresholds is suggested, being based on a standard deviation below the mean of maximum instantaneous flood levels for a given gauge. The standard deviation threshold, while lower than current "critical levels" used in management, is more representative of the majority of flood damage levels than thresholds based on lowest maximum instantaneous lake levels. However, caution is urged in applying any critical level solely based on water level gauge information as Great Lakes flooding is a highly site-specific phenomenon influenced by meteorologic factors.

Bibliography of Canadian Geomorphology